Hi. My name is Ryan Hinchey. I am a variable annuity consultant. Annuities are complicated. I help people make sense of them.
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Catching Elephant is a theme by Andy Taylor
Here we go again. Several insurers are poised to enhance their variable annuity product offerings in their May filings with the SEC. This list includes: Transamerica, Lincoln, John Hancock, and Metlife.
But as opposed to the 2007 “Arms Race” where insurers competed on generous features, with less caution for a doomsday scenario (e.g. 2008), these products will be a combination of innovation while factoring in the lessons learned - a smarter bread of variable annuities.
For example, I expect these products to limit the damage that can be done to a policyholder’s account value in a bad scenario, hence limiting the amount of claims that the insurer will pay out to cover the difference. This in turn reduces the rider fee charged to the policyholder.
There’s a number of ways this can be done and I expect to see several variations:
By utilizing one of these strategies, insurers will be able to either reduce the cost of the guarantee or enhance some of the features. At a macro level, insurers will have a better handle on the risk they are taking, which means stronger financial strength.
If you’re considering a variable annuity, it’s worth waiting until May to get a look at these new products. And be sure to take a look at their financial strength (I recommend Weiss). I would also consider diversifying your investment to more than one annuity company.
I’ve created www.NoBullAnnuities.com/ as a free, unbiased resource to help consumer do their homework when considering a variable annuity.
On the site you’ll find interactive tools that allow you to visually compare annuities. We’re currently looking for volunteers to test it out before it is released to the masses. If you’re interested, please sign up at www.NoBullAnnuities.com/ .
If you have any suggestions or ideas for the site, please let me know! You can contact me by clicking on the “email me” link in the left menu column.
Thanks!
Ryan
The VA industry is becoming increasingly top heavy. As discussed in this WSJ article, the top 4 variable annuity players now make up 48% of the 2010 industry sales!
Consumers would be best served with healthy competition and a wider dispersion of market share. If nothing else, advisors should be thinking about not putting all their consumers’ eggs in one basket, but rather spread their annuity investment among several companies - including a mutual company (which traditionally have the highest ratings in terms of financial strength).
I also think that more work needs to be done in fitting the annuity with the purchaser. Not every investor needs the richer (& more expensive) features if they are not going to use them. But I have a bad feeling that commissions are driving these decisions more than anything else.
Fingers crossed on a more competitive annuity landscape in Q4 & 2011.
The Wall Street Journal had an in interesting article regarding the (lack of) inflation adjustment for social security (here).
In the article, they reiterate a common feeling that measuring inflation is a “clumsy practice.”
“We have to use these average weights” in the consumer-price index, says Ken Stewart, an economist at the Bureau of Labor Statistics. “If you spend more on medical care, tobacco, college tuition — these are items that over the past 25 years have gone up faster on average than other items. If you’re spending more money on consumer electronics and TVs and things that have fallen in price, you may not see any inflation out there.”
The key takeaway here is that having retirement income linked to inflation is just not as safe as people may write if off to be. If one’s personal consumption differ’s widely from the generic basket, then the inflation realized by the individual will be widely different. Now this could be a good or bad thing depending on if one is buying more electronics or more medications. But I’m guessing more retirees are in the same boat as the person who left these comments :
“Just found out the the co-pay on my name brand medications will rise 792% next year. No COLA (cost of living adjustment)? BS.”
In light of the Dept of Labor & Treasury talks with annuity industry, the linked article explains some of the approaches insurance providers are offering annuities inside 401(k)’s.
The Vanguard Annuity Access platform will offer their customers the ability to shop and compare immediate and fixed deferred annuities from multiple careers online for a 2% upfront fee.
This is great news for web savvy boomers who are looking to purchase fixed annuities online.
According to this study by Allianz, only 27% of those surveyed know about variable annuity innovations made in the last 10 years. Rather, they base their view on research that was done 10 - 20 years ago. Scary!
There is much education that needs to be done to help the american public make informed decisions on meeting their retirement needs.
Dr Zvi Bodie gives 3 tips for a comfortable retirement.
On the lighter side… actuarial fashion.
source: flickr
The Wall Street Journal recently published an article entitled: “Beware of ‘Independent’ Investing Research”. In the article it discusses a study on annuities that was performed by University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, led by David Babbel. The controversial title of the WSJ articles stems from the fact that the study was co-sponsored by New York Life.
For anyone looking to read the study it can be found here:
Investing Your Lump Sum at Retirement, David F. Babbel and Craig B. Merrill, August 2007 (11 pages)
which was based off of:
Rational Decumulation, David F. Babbel and Craig B. Merrill, May 2007 (36 pages).
Both were co-sponsored by the Wharton Financial Institutions Center and New York Life Insurance company.
I would like to think that professors at our most prestigious universities have higher ethics than those on Wall Street, but I can understand those who believe their is a conflict of interest. However at the end of the day, I think this nets a positive for society to have our top academic minds studying the retirement issues that many baby boomers face. But please, read the study for yourself. Read the assumptions and reach your own conclusion on the validity of his findings.